I expect rapid progress but not towards general superintelligence
Analyses how engineering optimizations will shift AI work from execution-heavy to idea-driven, relevant for developers building AI systems.
AI Summary
AI infrastructure improvements will accelerate research by making models superhuman at GPU engineering, but this won't lead to general superintelligence beyond math and coding capabilities.
Excerpt
I’ve often been surprised when I hear from top researchers in industry that they think AI will be better than them at their job in a few years, and I didn’t really know why I doubted it.
